Why Appreciation Is Most Misunderstood Real Estate Investment Concept

Posted @ 6:59 pm - Filed under Real Estate Investing, Purposeful Planning, Real Estate Markets, Retirement Income, Buying Income Property, Investment Lessons, Capital Growth, BawldGuy Axiom, Palo Alto

When speaking to audiences in historically high appreciation areas, it’s common to hear them voice serious concern with regions I’m recommending. Their real problem? They’re lookin’ at appreciation at the cost of capital growth — theirs. They’re literally penalizing themselves to the tune of millions over the long term. In baseball terms, strikeouts are cool, but how many earned runs a pitcher allows per game is the real gold standard. No? Ask yourself if for the big game you’d want the guy who strikes out 12 batters a game but has a 5.3 ‘earned run average’ (ERA), or the guy who hardly ever strikes anyone out but only allows three runs a game?

Autographed Sandy Koufax Baseball

Not a difficult decision, is it? ‘Course not. It’s obvious on it’s face. Why? ‘Cuz in baseball the winner is decided by how who has the most runs at the end of the game — not the team sporting the pitcher with the most strikeouts.

Appreciation = Strikeout Pitcher whereas Capital Growth = Very low Earned Run Average

In real estate investment terms, here’s how it shakes out in real life.

Let’s say you’re in the Bay Area of NoCal, and poppin’ your vest buttons ‘cuz properties are selling via multiple offers, with some appreciation. Let’s inflate ’some appreciation’ to 10%. Income properties there require 40-50% down payments to break even on a month to month operational basis. Let’s use 40%.

Downtown Palo AltoInvest $100,000 at 40% down buys you a $250,000 property. Those in SF or Palo Alto can stop laughting — it’s just an example. If the first year’s appreciation rate is 10%, your capital grew by $25,000. On the other hand, if you’d have bought properties in one of the regions we currently recommend, you’d have acquired $1 Million of new property. If the first year’s appreciation was just 5%, your capital grew by $50,000.

I dunno, you make the call.

Over time, the only hope for places like California and places like it, are to resume double digit appreciation year after year. Don’t wanna burst yer bubble, but the odds on that happenin’ aren’t, uh, in your favor, know what I mean, Verne?

Fistful of CashEven with all things being equal, which they aren’t and won’t be, what’d'ya think the increased flexibility multiple props gives you? Oh, did I forget to mention triple to quadruple the tax shelter? Oops, my bad.

BawldGuy Axiom: Appreciation is for show, while capital growth is for dough.

Purposeful Planning understands this truth. There are now thousands of real estate investors who are learning the differences the hard way. Their retirement income will be the victim, if they don’t modify their outlook. That’s a nice way of sayin’ you’re sabotaging your own retirement if you’re buying appreciation instead of capital growth.

For those anxious to start growin’ their capital, your first step would be to click right here, and start a conversation — one I’m lookin’ forward to having.

Now for our Sunday musical interlude. (Always wanted to say that.)

This entry was posted on Sunday, June 29th, 2008 at 6:59 pm and is filed under Real Estate Investing, Purposeful Planning, Real Estate Markets, Retirement Income, Buying Income Property, Investment Lessons, Capital Growth, BawldGuy Axiom, Palo Alto. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

6 comments to “Why Appreciation Is Most Misunderstood Real Estate Investment Concept”

Robert Coté on June 30th, 2008 at 7:58 am said:

  • While the leverage (exposure) may be higher the benefits include distributed risk and smoothed cash flow. I divested because my SoCal holdings were just too many eggs in one basket (too few properties, locations, etc.). The other aspect is flexibility. Should the need arise sell one or two of the distributed assets to cover the unexpected. With expensive property tying up your capital that is more difficult and disruptive. In the Sominex theme it is easier to sleep when your entire portfolio doesn’t keep you glancing at wildfire warnings and every city council proposal to rezone your land to their whim.

David Shafer on June 30th, 2008 at 8:03 am said:

  • Thanks guys for some common sense on RE investing. While the masses are be taught to look for that foreclosure, you guys give us the tools to really suceed.

BawldGuy on June 30th, 2008 at 11:08 am said:

  • Robert — Though I’m record as not being a fan of diversification, I do confess to promoting both geographical & down payment diversification.

    Flexibility is almost never overrated.

    Rezoning? Another reason to Get Outa Dodge!

    BTW, how’s the ticker?

BawldGuy on June 30th, 2008 at 11:11 am said:

  • David — Common sense is almost always the bottom line. It’s what the public sometimes erroneously believes to be common sense that gets them into trouble.

    The foundation of common sense is when we realize there are answers out there for questions we simply don’t know to ask. It’s at that point common sense dictates the search for an adviser who’ll answer those questions.

Kerin Cantwell on July 2nd, 2008 at 9:17 pm said:

  • I have not invested in SoCal because of the crazy low/negative cash flows, but small investment property is what prompted me to get my broker’s license in the first place. Often the advice I get is “don’t invest in places you don’t know” but all the places I know are overvalued. What areas are you recommending?

BawldGuy on July 2nd, 2008 at 11:17 pm said:

  • Kerln — My first recommendation is to hook up with a guy like me. But I digress. :)

    Whether you know a place or not only matters if you’re not getting advise from an experienced investment broker. I didn’t know about many of the Texas/Kansas/Colorado/Idaho regions, but our ‘boots on the ground’ policy added to our decades of experience and expertise solved that problem.

    I’d recommend you seriously consider the northern/southern border areas of the Dallas/Ft. Worth Metroplex area. Austin is one of our favorites for all kinds of reasons.

    Many areas of Kansas City — both states.

    Denver has been and still is on our list.

    We’re currently have a focused interest in Atlanta, N & S Carolina, Houston, and we think San Antonio.

    Get ahold of me if you’d like some pertinent info.

    Don’t be a stranger, Kerin.

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