Love High Cap Rates? Me Too — Ever Ask Yourself WHY They’re High?

Posted @ 5:16 pm - Filed under Real Estate Investing, Cash Flow, Buying Income Property, Investment Lessons, Capital Growth

I read a bunch of real estate related blogs, many of them regularly. Equity Scout, written by real estate investor Chris Smith is among my regular reads. We disagree from time to time, but usually in degree, not principle. He’s one of the smartest guys I’ve met. (by phone) Warning: Don’t read his ‘about’ page if your ego is in a delicate state — it may shatter. :) penguin on ice berg

Chris wrote a post last Friday, Five Approaches To Today’s Soft Real Estate Market. In it he asks the question — What do I do now? What do you do when you’re on the coolest iceberg around, and it’s time to jump off? Which way to jump? Decisions, decisions.

He listed five approaches, three of which I said would be a solid combo. Doing nothing when not geographically bound is usually not necessary. Anchoring yourself to your local market makes no sense given today’s real estate reality. And what’s that?

Simple — America is now local to you.

Chris wrote in part about improving his position, which would include acquiring properties with the ‘right’ cap rate. I know what he means. But it brought to mind the never ending drumbeat of cap rate cap rate cap rate, so often preached in real estate investment circles. Chris didn’t mean anything like that, but it isn’t hard to find that attitude. It permeates real estate investment ‘wisdom’.

Hogwash.

Cap rate is not the be all end all telltale factor, screaming to us, “This is the perfect property! Buy it now moron!”

For the record, if you’re about to retire, and possess boatloads of hundred dollar bills, a high cap rate is your best friend. I’ll help you find a killer location housing a fine building with a AAAAAAAAA rated tenant, and you’ll find yourself coming home to rest and change before leaving on your next cool trip. (I may have exaggerated a tiny bit when describing the tenant’s quality.) :)

Back to hogwash.

Allow me to reprint here, at least partially, a comment I left at his place. I’ve added emphasis or italics.

Chasing cap rates has retarded growth in more portfolios than has bad economic times. I realize that may come off as a bold statement, but I make it inside a very narrowly defined context — and stand by it. In fact I’ve followed my own advice on this since Carter was in office. :)

If growth is your primary goal, acquiring double digit cap rate properties will almost always have the following two consequences:

1. Your cash flow will increase, relative to your last property.

2. Your capital growth rate will simultaneously decrease, as most smallish residential income properties sporting high cap rates are in lower demand areas. can of duh

THAT’S WHY THEIR CAP RATES ARE SO DARN HIGH.

I’m openin’ up a new can of Duh for that one. :)

Let’s look at it differently for a second.

You find a duplex allowing 10% down, fixed rate amortized financing, and it’s brand new. It’s well located, attracting quality tenants, and best of all? It breaks even or better with real life operating expenses, not the usual fantasy crapola expenses you’ve no doubt often seen.

Gonna tell me yer walkin’ away cuz the cap rate isn’t even 8%? Really? Seriously? Of course yer not.

In fact, you’re gonna buy four if you can afford it, because over time, and while your tenants are comfortably paying for your holding period, the property is moreone likely than not, going up in value over the long haul.

Before all investment goals, the preservation of your capital is paramount. That never changes. After that you have goals established.

Falling in love with high cap rates is a distraction from the #1 goal — capital appreciation. Forget that principle at your own risk.

This entry was posted on Wednesday, January 23rd, 2008 at 5:16 pm and is filed under Real Estate Investing, Cash Flow, Buying Income Property, Investment Lessons, Capital Growth. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

9 comments to “Love High Cap Rates? Me Too — Ever Ask Yourself WHY They’re High?”

David Stejkowski on January 23rd, 2008 at 7:41 pm said:

  • Here I go preaching to the choir. Cap rates are but a tool, and a very very dangerous one in the hands of the amateur.

    I don’t care how great the cap rate is if the property has four legs and barks.

    How many times have we heard someone say, “But I can get this at an 11 and sell at a 9!” And you know inevitably what happens. El-tanko. Now that’s not saying you can’ get a bargain or two out there, IF you know what you are doing!

    Another homer, Jeff.

Phoenix az real estate on January 23rd, 2008 at 8:00 pm said:

  • I couldn’t agree more with you, David. You have to know what you’re doing if you go by cap rates.

BawldGuy on January 23rd, 2008 at 8:22 pm said:

  • David — ‘…four legs and barks.’ Why can’t I think of quotes like that? :)

    Thanks

BawldGuy on January 23rd, 2008 at 8:26 pm said:

  • Phoenix — you said it. Cap rates are like almost seductive for some, hypnotic for others. Either way the results can be a sad surprise.

Christopher Smith on January 24th, 2008 at 8:18 am said:

  • Jeff your readers are gonna think I’m paying you a promotional fee…

    OK agree with most of what you’ve written so I’ll ignore all of that stuff and focus on our “degree” of disagreement, as you artfully put it. So here’s my question for you: If you had a $50 million dollar bill to invest would you buy a mansion in Beverly Hills or would you buy a block of duplexes in blue collar East LA?

    Beverly Hills is high demand. Having Steven Spielberg and Michael Eisner as your neighbors would be pretty cool. High demand areas will always have a higher value than low demand areas, but it doesn’t follow that high demand areas will always appreciate faster. If this were the case then the wealthy zip codes would steadily pull away from the poorer ones ad infinitum, but we know this isn’t the way that laws of economics work.

    I can’t answer my own hypothetical question because I don’t know Los Angeles, but I do know that I wouldn’t automatically gravitate towards the high demand area with the expectation that this would help me in the capital appreciation category.

BawldGuy on January 24th, 2008 at 9:09 am said:

  • Chris — After this comment I’d be a cad if I didn’t mail you a promotional fee. :)

    The answer will show up today in a post. This is too good to pass up. Thanks!

On Cap Rates and Capital Growth | The Wealth Building Guy on January 29th, 2008 at 4:53 am said:

  • […] As Jeff Brown said this week: If growth is your primary goal, acquiring double digit cap rate properties will almost always have the following two consequences: […]

Renese on March 4th, 2008 at 1:11 pm said:

  • what would be a good average cap rate for Class A office space in Fort Lauderdale area?

BawldGuy on March 4th, 2008 at 2:59 pm said:

  • Rense — Don’t know — why don’t you tell me?

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