Investing Without A Purposeful Plan – Are You At Risk?

Posted @ 10:56 am - Filed under Purposeful Planning, Real Estate Investing, Retirement

So one of your smoke alarms starts its annoying chirping — the battery is low. Crud. If you have pretty high ceilings, as many of us do, this can present somewhat of a challenge. Do you have the tools for the job?

Apparently Jed didn’t. :) As a Boise based mortgage broker he’s one of the best, but handy in the home? Not judging by this evidence. :)

Jed with ladder

As you can see, he decided a good night’s sleep, and his family’s safety won over his desire to avoid risking a broken neck. Admirable Jed — but I bet you’re now searching for a better way of taking care of business next time.

Looking at Jed about to scale the heights in search of family security, it serves to remind you of the point in some investment scenarios when you have the chance to say, “Naw, I don’t think so — we’ll pass this time.” Or you can find yourself risking your neck doing what you’re not either prepared to do safely, or don’t have the tools available to do the job, or both. Jed decided to go ahead anyway.

jed on top of ladder

This is a great analogy to investors trying do what their investment advisor does on their own, or by reading a book, or ordering ‘how to’ DVD’s — because after all, how hard can it be, right? I’ve bailed folks out of $0 down deals, buying where they shouldn’t have, or what they shouldn’t have. Why? Because they just wanted to do it themselves. The worst scenario is when they’ve enjoyed moderate to great success in up-trending markets. They didn’t realize until way too late — that same ‘great market’ had been covering up their sins.

In my first hand experience, these folks are pretty bright. Innate intelligence however, doesn’t transfer based on observation, reading, attending a seminar or two, or because ‘it’s all about leverage’ or ‘all about (1031) tax deferred exchanges’ — because it’s not.

Now, to be fair to Jed, if he’d have fallen the odds probably favored him avoiding fatal or severe injury. Here’s what really faulty planning looks like. I wonder what the real estate investment analogy would be for this guy?

ladder idiot

Jed’s predicament atop that rickety setup illustrates clearly how that kind of thinking sets you up for a potentially nasty fall.

True story — I’ve seen an investor, after experiencing huge success, decide they could do things on their own, cast off their advisor, and ride off into the sunset. In less than two years they lost, literally, seven figures. They also blew up their cash flow, had to deal with consistently vacant properties, and now find themselves, figuratively speaking, on their living room floor with a broken arm, a severely twisted knee, and a ladder on top of them. The lost cash flow, capital growth, and growth not realized due to their inability to exchange up to other growth regions, has now approached a total of two million dollars.

Have you put yourself up on that investment ladder with Jed? Don’t panic. Here’s what you don’t do. Don’t figure out how to get yourself down safely on your own. That’s what got you up there in the first place, remember? :) I’ve seen some so called solutions make things almost infinitely worse.

Get someone to secure that ladder, (Which isn’t even spread out all the way, since the size of the table wouldn’t allow it!) and climb down slowly and safely.

Finally, there are those who just don’t know what they don’t know
. I meet them from time to time, and listen to them tell me how their particular investment approach will produce much better results than their investment buddies. Occasionally it turns out to be a real doozy.

Here’s what the following true story looks like on a ladder. You just can’t make this stuff up. :)

ladder in pool

How ’bout the woman who refinanced her home to buy her first fixer, then decided she could do two. She had no experience whatsoever, but, (wait for it, here it comes) how hard could it be, right? Right. So now she’s in the middle of two fixers and runs into problems for which she was totally unprepared. Imagine that. Because she had world class credit, she went to what she called her back up stash — plastic. Over $80,000 later, she was done. The problem was — what a sec, did I mention she bought the fixers with no down? So now, even though she’s in a fairly decent market back then, she can’t refinance with decent rates because she has two vacant homes, almost a hundred grand in plastic debt, and debt service on the homes way more than market rent would come close to covering. This doesn’t take into account her fix-up costs going way over budget because she over did it big time. (everyone thinks they’re an interior designer) In essence, her naive approach ate up most of her potential profit. But the homes really looked good. :)

She ended up selling both of them, netting out enough from both to go on a weekend getaway to Yuma — by bus. :) Of course, that’s when she came to me, through a friend, to figure a way out — she hadn’t made enough to pay a cent on her newly acquired plastic debt. Her credit rating, though not in free-fall, was headed for urgent care.

It took us about a year and a half, but we fixed it. We ended up finding her some real money making properties that increased her net worth more than she dreamed possible. Over time we eliminated the plastic debt. The end of the story you ask? She went out on her own again, because she now knew what she was doing. I assume, since I haven’t heard from her, that further disasters have been avoided. Of course, it could happen any day now — market corrections have a way of weeding out the do-it-yourselfers.

Either you know what you’re doing or you don’t. Folks who wouldn’t dream of reading a book in order to rewire their home themselves, will literally risk their retirement based on the thought — how hard can it really be? I’ve been doing this for a pretty long time, and I’ve yet to figure out a logical motivation for this kind of thinking. But that’s when my grandma’s voice comes into my head. She once told me that if I’m ignorant of something, and know it, that’s one thing. The real problem arises when I fool myself into thinking I know everything I don’t know. In real life she said, it’s pretty simple — we don’t know what we don’t know.


What don’t you know? And then ask yourself the most important question. Are you at risk because you don’t have a Purposeful Plan? Or worse, is your Plan based on what you think you know?

Thanks for the inspiration Jed — you da man.

This entry was posted on Saturday, June 2nd, 2007 at 10:56 am and is filed under Purposeful Planning, Real Estate Investing, Retirement. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

14 comments to “Investing Without A Purposeful Plan – Are You At Risk?”

Phil Gerbyshak on June 2nd, 2007 at 1:31 pm said:

  • I think this is a lot like the golden goose analogy, where folks think they can get more gold if they just cut out the middle man.

    Now really, isn’t $9 of a $10 sale better than $0 of no sale at all? I’d rather work with you and have something than not work with you and have nothing.

    Thanks for the insights and inspiration as always. You are a smart bawld guy my friend!

BawldGuy on June 2nd, 2007 at 3:12 pm said:

  • Wow! Phil Gerbyshak is on my blog.

    >Now really, isn’t $9 of a $10 sale better than $0 of no sale at all? I’d rather work with you and have something than not work with you and have nothing.

    Watch out Phil, you’re making sense here. :)

    Thanks for your kinds words Phil.

    Readers – If you don’t click on Phil’s name above his comment you’ll be missing out. He’s one of the most respected bloggers in the country. Treat yourself and take a look.

Sock Puppet on June 2nd, 2007 at 3:43 pm said:

  • This was a standout post Jeff. As a long time reader I admit to skipping over some of your “purposeful plan” posts and this one reeled me right back in.

    Don’t get me wrong – you’re quite correct to repeat the topic, the majority of readers will likely be new each time.

    Really great post. You’ll be in my Feed Bag tomorrow for sure.

    -Athol

BawldGuy on June 2nd, 2007 at 3:53 pm said:

  • Athol – I understand what you’re saying about the whole ‘Plan’ subject. I repeat the message because it’s the foundation for my clients’ success.

    Thanks for the Feed Bag! I’ve been studiously avoiding the daily bad MLS pic thing. :)

    Readers – Athol aka Sock Puppet, is already on my blog roll. However, take some time to visit his blog – though I warn you, he’s addicting. I don’t miss a day reading his thoughts.

Phil Gerbyshak on June 2nd, 2007 at 6:41 pm said:

  • Glad to share Jeff. You are making a lot of sense with these articles. Your insights make you known as THE expert in real estate investing, at least in my world!

Cher on June 2nd, 2007 at 10:28 pm said:

  • Jeff, I really agree with you about “bad markets weeding out the do-it -yourselfers”
    There are so many facets to being successful..credit rating, when to sell, when to buy, what to buy, what loan to get, how much to buy, how to NOT panic during a bad market, when to refinance, who to use as a lender, on and on.
    An investor needs a guide whose seen all the markets and knows which stategy to use in which market.
    This is an especially tricky market right now requiring a pro for guidance.
    The path of wealth has so many land mines. No matter how much you have, or how much you think you know, you are so correcty we investors need you to hold that ladder for us.
    Very good post. I like the analogy of the danger of purseing safety for the family only to crash and burn by not working smart.

BawldGuy on June 3rd, 2007 at 11:08 am said:

  • Hey Cher – Thanks for the kind words and for summarizing so well what most investors don’t realize – it’s not the mechanics, it’s knowing where to tap.

Austin Realtor's Wife on June 3rd, 2007 at 1:35 pm said:

  • Jeff, what I love about your blog (namely this particular article) is your clear expertise that OOZES from your writing.

    The ladder analogy is great- we all have to take some sort of risk that is calculated at some time. In Real Estate, there are numerous factors to consider before climbing that ladder, but DANG does it feel good when you have working detectors that don’t squeal every 30 seconds (oh, and that sweet profit when a well executed plan succeeds)!

bawldguy on June 3rd, 2007 at 1:43 pm said:

  • Austin – Thanks, it’s a great time for oozing. :)

    I wonder how many thousands of lives have been saved because of the incessant chirping?

    Readers – I’ve said it before, but go to my blogroll and click on Real Estate Wives – you won’t be sorry. Austin has also recently been added to BloodhoundBlog’s lineup of real estate heavyweights.

    No, really Lani, I didn’t mean that literally. :) Those pants look fine.

RE Agent in CT » The Feed Bag on June 3rd, 2007 at 2:09 pm said:

  • [...] Jeff Brown often touches upon his concept of a Purposeful Plan for real estate investing. This post is both eye catching and masterful. Required Reading.  Investing Without a Purposeful Plan – Are You at Risk?  [...]

BawldGuy on June 3rd, 2007 at 4:57 pm said:

  • Thanks Athol – successfully navigating The Feed Bag’s quality control filter makes my weekend!

    Readers – Athol’s blog has two recurring themes, besides solid daily real estate content.

    1. The daily ‘worst MLS Picture’ which is a reliable laugh.

    2. The Feed Bag – which points you to what Athol judges are the best posts of the day.

    Check him out, he’s on my blogroll as RE Agent in CT

Sock Puppet on June 3rd, 2007 at 5:53 pm said:

  • Thanks for the boosting there Jeff, I appreciate it.

    Also as an aside, your comment on heavyweight/pants helped inspire me to complete a post I’d been kicking around for a while. http://tinyurl.com/24d2yc

    -Athol

Bill Williams on June 5th, 2007 at 3:06 pm said:

  • is Jed writing a new book titled “The Dangerous Book For Loan Arrangers”?

    nice post Jeff. Looking forward to meeting you later this week.

bawldguy on June 5th, 2007 at 5:54 pm said:

  • He does make you wonder doesn’t he? :)

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